"aem" > wrote in message
ups.com...
>
> Doug Kanter wrote:
> [snip]
>> Think about it: Using my city (Rochester NY)
>> as an example, it's estimated that 1/3 of homes have a properly
> working gun
>> of some kind. In NY, it's ***LEGAL*** (as in NOT ILLEGAL, for the
> benefit
>> of slow learners) to shoot an intruder, no questions asked, as long
> as they
>> are IN YOUR DWELLING. Not your garage, not your yard, not your car,
> but
>> actually in the house.
>>
>> Translation: A burglar has a 1 in 3 chance of being shot dead. I
> don't know
>> about you, but I think anyone who accepts such lousy odds in return
> for a
>> VCR and some jewelry is (as psychiatrists say) "out of their friggin'
>
>> minds", and is asking to be shot. [snip]
>>
>> I'm writing this after having only one cup of coffee, so my logic
> might be
>> slightly rusty, but even so....it's pretty good logic. :-)
>
> It's your assumptions, not your logic, that are more than rusty. For
> your "1 in 3 chance of being shot dead" to be right, you have to assume
> that 100% of all intrusions into houses with guns result in a fatal
> shooting. No cases of the gun owner not getting the gun, or not
> choosing to fire it, or not hitting the target fatally or, etc., etc.

I know, but since it's impossible to make any accurate assumption, I chose
the best possible outcome.